琢磨

自2006年来，萨省经济开始飞跃，失业率持续降低，直接刺激本省房地产市场。另外邻省，尤其是卡尔加里（因为有很多萨省人在此工作，又被称为萨省最大城市）的房价更是如同坐了火箭一般。

许多在阿省工作的萨省人就想到了回归故里或是投资萨省地产。这些行为都直接刺激了萨省房价的飞涨。萨斯卡通市上月房价的涨幅甚至超过卡尔加里。

但是最新统计表明，

1，阿省的房价增长在放缓，埃德蒙顿是的房价有所下降，卡尔加里的涨幅低于全国平均；
2，阿省及萨省的主要工业-石油、食品业在今年2-3季度都有大的工作岗位流失；
3，萨省两个主要城市，目前共有近2000套住房在建，预计明年上半年可以交付；
4，萨省是劳动力缺乏省，目前以低消费为主要诉求吸引外来人口，
5，MLS上统计的销售量已经明显下降

以上事实可以总结出这样的结论，

1，在阿省有工作的人可能会考虑在阿省购房，房价降了嘛，毕竟工作重要
2，因为阿省的趋势，让一些打算到萨省炒房的人止步，持币观望，其实美国房市更加是一个例子，美加不能没有关系
3，在阿省失去工作的萨省人会回到萨省，这些人需要买房
4，新建房上市，会增加市场空房储量，抑制房价
5，房价一直飞涨只有少数炒房族获利，企业、政府、无房族都因为成本加而无利可图，所以政府应该会有相关措施解决
6，房价一直飞涨会阻碍外省人口进入，进一步阻碍本省经济发展，直接影响就是劳动力成本增加，导致房价进一步上涨，现在新建的Condo都有卖到40万的了。

因而，我们预期，从现在到明年3月间，本省房地产市场将明显放慢脚步。明年第二季度究竟如何要看经济的具体走向。

[ 本帖最后由 琢磨 于 2007-10-18 08:40 编辑 ]

琢磨

萨市的平均房价已经达到$300/SF的价格了，就是说，一般1000SF的房子要30万，700SF的要21万。700SF就是约65平方米，1000SF就是约96平方米。稍好些地方的公寓也要20万了。

相比较，卡城也不过如此吧。呵呵，看来萨市真的在飞啊。

琢磨

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